Forecasting an Uncertain Future:
Cybersecurity Challenges to Come
In a sense, “the future” is once and always the topic for any security talk. Almost everything we work on is either the prevention of future trouble or the amelioration of troubles that were once in the future but were not dealt with before they reached the present. Security planning is all about constraints, that is to say the object of security planning is to constrain the freedom of motion of attackers, while the actions of defenders are always themselves subject to significant constraints.
Attackers will not go away, but sharply constraining the scope of their damage is a win when and if the means to do so are cost effective, and cost effectiveness is enhanced by understanding the future.